DECISION MOOSE

Investment Newsletter: Stock Market & Investment Strategies

USES Model

US Equity Sector Rotation Strategy

The USES (US Equity Sector) Model applies the same momentum-ranking methodology as the Global Index Model, but focuses exclusively on the eleven sectors of the US stock market. Rather than rotating between asset classes, it rotates between sectors — identifying which corner of the US economy has the strongest momentum each week.

How the USES Model Works

Each week, the eleven SPDR sector ETFs are scored using the same CI%, TS+, RSI, and PMO framework as the Global Index Model. The top-ranked sector becomes the model's recommended holding. Investors can implement the signal using the corresponding sector ETF, or use it as a filter to tilt their existing US equity allocation toward the strongest sector.

The Eleven US Equity Sectors

The USES Model tracks all eleven GICS sectors via their SPDR Select Sector ETFs:

ETFSectorDescription
XLKTechnologySoftware, hardware, semiconductors, and IT services
XLVHealth CarePharmaceuticals, biotech, medical devices, and managed care
XLFFinancialsBanks, insurance, asset managers, and REITs
XLYConsumer DiscretionaryRetail, autos, hotels, restaurants, and leisure
XLPConsumer StaplesFood, beverages, household products, and tobacco
XLEEnergyOil, gas, and consumable fuels
XLIIndustrialsAerospace, defence, machinery, and transportation
XLBMaterialsChemicals, metals, mining, and construction materials
XLUUtilitiesElectric, gas, and water utilities
XLREReal EstateREITs and real estate management companies
XLCCommunication ServicesTelecom, media, entertainment, and interactive media

How Investors Use the USES Model

Pure Sector Rotation

Hold 100% in the top-ranked sector ETF each week, rotating when the leader changes.

Tilt Strategy

Maintain a diversified US equity core but overweight the top 2–3 ranked sectors.

Avoidance Filter

Use the bottom-ranked sectors as a screen to avoid the weakest areas of the market.

Combined with Global Model

When the Global Index Model signals US equities as the top asset class, use the USES Model to select the strongest sector within that allocation.

The USES Model is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Sector ETF investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.