Latest data compilation and notes.
Index Moose is an ETF-based momentum model that compares the relative strength of stocks in the US (SPY, IWM), Emerging markets (EEM), Developed offshore markets (EFA), Short & Long US Treasuries (SHY, EDV) and Gold (GLD) in order to pick the best place to invest your money. Index Moose uses momentum to rank US and international equities, long bonds, cash and gold. It was originally developed in 1992 as a basis for a newsletter on global financial markets. Switches have been published live on the internet since October 1996. Index Moose devotes 100% of the portfolio to the #1 ranked fund. The USES model and its daily signal are provided by a private entity as a guideline only for free. Free advice is worth what you pay for it.
The Model Framework selects the asset with the best momentum, technicals,and recent price action in which to invest 100% of the portfolio. Momentum is ranked according to Confidence Index, Technical Strength, and Fed Monetary policy. The Donchian 20-day system is used to set stops. In addition, RSI and PMO are used to filter switch signals.
Performance data tells us what is and isn't working over various time frames. Sticking with what works is the basis of momentum investing. Want to improve your life? Explore our collection of self-help books. From productivity to mindfulness, we have books that can help you achieve your goals.
THIS WEEK was the first MIXED-Risk week after two risk-ON. Foreign Stocks MIXED, US Stocks DOWN US Bonds UP Gold UP.
Global Index Moose continues to HOLD #1 Gold (GLD) via buy-stop since 8/28/25.
INDEX MOOSE YTD +16%
AOA (Aggressive B&H) +2%
AOM (Moderate B&H) +1%
The Global Index Model continues to outperform the S&P, all Buy-and-Hold allocations, and the USES and TSP models in 2026. Emerging markets (EEM) and US small caps (IWM) are challenging gold, but it continues to lead in technical strength, PMO, and quarterly performance. It is however, severely overvalued and due for a dip.
One of the reasons for this site is to maintain a record of the comparative performance of market timing versus buy and hold investment strategies.. Transaction listings since the models switched from weekly to daily are recorded below.
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