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Decision Moose

Decision MooseDecision MooseDecision Moose

investment newsletter & insight

investment newsletter & insightinvestment newsletter & insight

WHAT'S WORKING AS OF juL01.2022?

Buy & Hold vs. Market Timing: TIMING Mixed in 2022

Market  timing  (active) or diversified buy-and-hold (passive) are the two primary strategic options.  Our US Equity timing model, which has outperformed for four of the last five years including 2021, is behind to open 2022, however.  Economic and financial conditions can have a major impact on strategic  success.  Monitoring year-to-date performance is one way to know what is  currently working. See the newsletter for more.
                                                   

                                                         YTD22      2021           2020        2019         2018        2017       2016        

US Strategy Moose                -9.3%       22.2%       20.9%       23.6%        1.2%       28.5%     -5.6%     (Timing)  

Moderate G&I (AOM)        -13.7%          5.3%         7.7%       19.5%      -9.9%       14.1%       5.3%     (B&H)

Aggressive G&I (AOA)       -17.3%      13.5%         10.7%       12.5%      -6.2%         8.0%        3.5%     (B&H)

Index Moose                            -18.3%       11.7%        13.2%        -6.5%        5.1%         9.0%      -6.0%     (Timing)


Recent TSP Performance: TSP MOOSE Leads

Government  employees invested in the Thrift Savings Plan have numerous options,  but the basic decision is whether to time the market or take a  diversified buy and hold approach. Market timing outperformed all  diversified buy-and-hold "Lifestyle" options in three of the last five years, but not last year, nor to start 2022.  Economic  and financial conditions can have a major impact on strategic success.  Monitoring year-to-date performance is one way to know what is currently  working. See the newsletter for more.


                                                                                  YTD22          2021          2020          2019          2018          2017        

TSP Moose                                                            -4.9%        +13.3%     +21.8%     +14.9%     +6.5%      +21.0% 

TSP Moderate G&I (L2030)                      -12.5%        +12.4%     +11.3%     +17.6%      -3.6%       +14.5%

TSP Growth & Income  (L2040)              -15.0%        +14.5%     +13.2%     +20.7%     -4.9%       +16.8%      

TSP Growth  (L2050)                                    -17.1%        +16.3%     +14.8%     +23.3%     -6.0%       +18.8%       

TSP Aggressive Growth (L2060)            -20.0%        +19.9%          new 


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