Last Year: The USES Model Outperformed the S&P and B&H. The Index Model lagged Aggressive B&H.
This Year: US Stocks are bullish into January while bonds are bearish after three Fed rate cuts have kept inflation fears alive. Trillions in federal deficit spending continues—now through March—and the Fed is not expected to cut rates in January.
This week: For private investors the Index Model and the US Equity Strategy (USES) Model are slightly outperforming the S&P and diversified B&H.
It was the 1st RISK-ON week after 2 risk-off: Stocks UP, Bonds UP and Gold UP.
Last Year: The most aggressive TSP Lifetime Funds outperformed.
This Year: US Stocks are bullish into January while bonds are bearish after three Fed rate cuts have kept inflation fears alive. Trillions in federal deficit spending continues—now through March—and the Fed is not expected to cut rates in January.
This week: For public sector investors the TSP Model is outperforming the Thrift Savings Plan's Lifetime Strategies early in 2025. Conservative B&H is outperforming aggressive.
It was the 2nd RISK-OFF week in a row: Stocks mostly DOWN, Bonds DOWN and Gold UP.