GOLD AND Equities LEAD INDICES HIGHER
Last Year: The USES Model Outperformed the S&P and B&H. The Index Model lagged Aggressive B&H.
THIS YEAR: US Stocks are bullish into February while bonds are bearish but improving after three Fed rate cuts kept inflation fears alive. Trillions in federal deficit spending continues—now through March—and the Fed is not expected to cut rates until June.
THIS WEEK: For private investors the Index Model is outperforming the S&P and diversified B&H in 2025. The USES model is lagging as large-cap growth is resetting after three strong years.
It was the 2nd RISK-MIXED week in a row:
US Stocks MIXED, Foreign Stocks UP. Bonds DOWN and Gold UP.
TSP: AGGRESSIVE RISK ON STRATEGIES EXCEL
TSP THIS YEAR: US Stocks are bullish into February while bonds are bearish but improving after three Fed rate cuts kept inflation fears alive. Trillions in federal deficit spending continues— now through March— and the Fed is not expected to cut rates until June.
TSP THIS WEEK: Thrift Savings Plan's Lifetime Strategies are outperforming the TSP Model after a false stop-loss early in 2025. Aggressive B&H is outperforming moderate portfolios even though large-cap growth is resetting after three strong years.
It was the 2nd RISK-MIXED week in a row:
US Stocks MIXED, Foreign Stocks UP. Bonds DOWN and Gold UP.