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Decision Moose

Decision MooseDecision MooseDecision Moose

investment newsletter & insight

investment newsletter & insightinvestment newsletter & insight

WHAT'S WORKING AS OF FEB03.2023?

Aggressive Buy & Hold Opens 2023 on Top

This week: Horrible performance in 2022 put stocks and bonds “on sale” and playing catch-up in early 2023. 13 days into the new year, with stocks firm and bonds up big, diversified buy-and-hold opens on top. With another rate hike imminent, however, it would be a surprise if that lasts past the next FOMC meeting February 1st. $1.7 Trillion in new fiscal spending will not mitigate against Fed rate hikes, war, trade sanctions, an inept Fed, and an anti-business administration forever.
                                                   

                                                            2023        2022       2021          2020        2019         2018        2017       2016        

Aggressive G&I (AOA)           7.8%     -17.9%      13.5%        10.7%       12.5%      -6.2%         8.0%       3.5%     

SPY Benchmark                         7.4%     -19.5%

Moderate G&I (AOM)            5.2%    -16.4%          5.3%          7.7%       19.5%      -9.9%       14.1%       5.3%     

Index Moose                                3.8%    -16.3%       11.7%       13.2%        -6.5%        5.1%         9.0%      -6.0%  

US Equity Moose                      3.2%      -7.0%        22.2%       20.9%       23.6%        1.2%       28.5%     -5.6%      


TSP Performance: Very Aggressive B&H Leads in 2023

Government  employees invested in the Thrift Savings Plan have numerous options,  but the basic decision is whether to time the market or take a  diversified buy and hold approach. Market timing outperformed all  diversified buy-and-hold "Lifestyle" options in four of the last six years.  Economic  and financial conditions can have a major impact on strategic success.  Monitoring year-to-date performance is one way to know what is currently  working. See the newsletter for more.


                                                                                      2023        2022          2021          2020          2019          2018          2017        

TSP Aggressive Growth (L2060)           +8.8%     -17.6%        +19.9%          new 

TSP Growth  (L2050)                                    +7.5%     -15.0%        +16.3%     +14.8%     +23.3%     -6.0%        +18.8% 

TSP Growth & Income  (L2040)              +6.6%     -12.9%       +14.5%     +13.2%     +20.7%      -4.9%       +16.8% 

TSP Moderate G&I (L2030)                      +5.6%     -10.3%        +12.4%     +11.3%     +17.6%      -3.6%      +14.5%

TSP Moose                                                          +4.2%         -3.4%        +13.3%     +21.8%     +14.9%     +6.5%    +21.0% 


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