Investment newsletter: stock market & investment strategies
HELPING YOU NAVIGATE A TOUGH INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT
HELPING YOU NAVIGATE A TOUGH INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT
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Latest Week’s Investment Market Thumbnail 2/14/25:
Hot January inflation data this week was not entirely unexpected after Biden banned offshore drilling, causing US crude to rise sharply last month. Trump reversed Biden’s decision late in the month, bringing oil prices down, but the damage was done. Supply-side concerns, such as Avian flu and tariff fears driving import futures prices higher, created a perfect storm—at least until January’s weak retail sales took some pressure off on Friday. Typically, inflation delays the prospect of future Fed rate cuts, and it did this week, but markets readjusted as demand softened. US large-cap stocks, which are less rate-sensitive than small-caps, outperformed. US long-term Treasury bonds dropped significantly mid-week but nearly recovered. The 10-year yield peaked midweek before closing lower on Friday. The cash yield also declined. Falling yields weakened interest in the Dollar, which in turn helped commodities, gold, and offshore equities. Europe had a strong week, followed by Latin America, Asia-Pacific, and Japan. Only oil continued to slide. The models: No switches.
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